The significance of Mamta Banerjee's victory and its importance in national politics - Abhishek Gupta
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After the results of the election results of five states, the question mark has arisen on the estimates of big politicians and all those Chanakya? Those who were making their own guesses about the results of West Bengal. Everyone had their eyes fixed on the election results of five states, then it was the assembly elections in West Bengal. After all, why did everyone keep their eyes on West Bengal? What was the reason that all political analysts were thinking, maybe this time there is a big change in West Bengal?
Mamta Banerjee's victory in the election of West Bengal may have made her stand out in national politics. Mamta Banerjee alone, having won in West Bengal on her own, may have forced all those analysts and Chanakyo to think, "No matter how many policies you make, no matter how influential you are, but their leadership is nowhere Nowhere is there more than that impressive leadership. "Mamata Banerjee responded to the BJP with the same aggression that the BJP had contested in West Bengal and gave the slogan of 'Sonar Bangla' and today it is probably the result that Mamta Banerjee won even bigger than the last assembly election. Registered, but also achieved a historic victory in West Bengal.
If we talk about the analysis of Bengal elections, then you will understand, who lost what and who got what? If we talk about who has suffered the most, then the Congress and the Left party have suffered. Which did not appear anywhere in the election and its vote percentage also fell somewhere around 10%. Talking about the last assembly elections of 2016, both the Congress and the Left together got 37.9 percent of the vote. At the same time, the combined vote percentage of both in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections was about 15%. The Congress and the Left suffered the most. Yes, this is different, the saying "Abdullah Deewana at Begani Shaadi" fits perfectly on both of them. This has led to the weakening of the organization of both parties, but the existence of the party has also been questioned.
Now if we talk about BJP, what did it lose and what did it gain? Then analyze it as well. Talking about BJP seats in the last assembly elections of 2016, it got only 3 seats and BJP got 10.2% of the total votes. But from 2016 to 2019, BJP aggressively campaigned in Bengal. The BJP shocked everyone after the 2019 Lok Sabha election results in West Bengal, winning 18 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats and receiving 40.3% of the total Lok Sabha elections.
If we look at the vote percentage of 2016 to 2019, then BJP has definitely made its lead in Bengal, if we look at BJP's seats and vote percentage in 2019 Lok Sabha, BJP was seen to be leading in 128 assembly seats. The BJP, which won 3 seats in 2016, seemed to have an enthusiasm about West Bengal somewhere out of the vote percentage obtained in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. In this enthusiasm, the BJP aggressively entered the election ground of West Bengal and the entire BJP cabinet went into aggressive campaigning in the elections.Even more important is that the BJP fielded its three Union ministers. Now, just think, how important can the election be for the party that brings out its three Union Ministers in the Assembly elections. But after the election results, all those politicians and Chanakyo have raised questions on multiplication of mathematics somewhere?
Talk about where the BJP has beaten the party, so the reason is that the BJP itself is somewhere. The BJP gave tickets to such candidates on several seats, who had left the other party and joined the BJP. Now think about it when the people of the organization were asked to campaign the candidates which they were opposing till now. This led to some weakness in the organization and certainly when the organization is weak, the party loses. Perhaps this formula of BJP's ticket to outsiders may have been successful in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, but it was flopped somewhere in West Bengal. Now the BJP will have to introspect itself and do not repeat it again in any other state, otherwise it will definitely have to face defeat again.
The second biggest reason for the BJP's defeat in the elections was that, the BJP did not make any face for the Chief Minister's post, which stands in front of Mamata Banerjee, it had a great impact in the election of Bengal. The third reason is to aggressively campaign in the Corona epidemic in Bengal and to address it by organizing huge rallies, which is disseminated in the media.Now think of addressing big rallies where there is such a big epidemic, it has sent a wrong message to the middle class somewhere and the result of this is that the vote percentage fell in this assembly election from the last assembly election and the middle class somewhere from the BJP Moved The fourth reason was also to link BJP's politics with religion, due to which Mamata Banerjee promoted it in the same manner and this caused the BJP loss somewhere. These were the main reasons for BJP's defeat.
Apart from this, there were other reasons, which were the reason for BJP's defeat. Such as the peasant movement, the support of privatization, the lack of jobs at the center against which a movement was launched against the central government in social media which had a great impact on the middle class and the vote bank went in favor of Mamata Banerjee. Apart from this, due to Mamata Banerjee's public welfare policies, adivasis, Muslims and disadvantaged sections were with Mamta somewhere and there was a beneficial situation for Mamata Banerjee.
Overall, the BJP has lost a lot in West Bengal. Telling its leaders that from the 3 seats of 2016 to 75 in the 2021 assembly elections, then it would be a shame for them. Because in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP was seen gaining in 128 seats by vote percentage and it was reduced to around 75 only. Now BJP needs to be churned and now why not, when three of its Union ministers lose the assembly elections and big leaders like Shubhendu Rai leave Trinamool Congress and join BJP and claim victory from their seat like Nandigram by 50 thousand votes You are doing, but can win only around 1900, then it makes you think. In any case, the national leadership will have to deliberate and contest the election again by further strategizing.
Now if we talk about Mamata Banerjee, then Mamata Banerjee definitely won a historic victory, but also won a big victory from all the previous elections. In this election, Mamta Banerjee was brought into national politics. The Trinamool Congress surprised everyone by winning more than 211 seats won in the last assembly election. When it was being said, "Didi is set to go to West Bengal this time".Mamta Banerjee not only fared better than the previous election but also recorded an increase in vote percentage, where TMC got 44.9% of the votes in the 2016 elections, while in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, TMC got 43.3% of the votes. Due to which there was a decrease in popularity of Mamata Banerjee somewhere and according to the vote percentage of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Mamata Banerjee's party was shown leading in 158 seats. In comparison to 2016, TMC was seen to suffer someplace of loss.
Certainly, Mamata Banerjee improved her strategy at the grassroots level after the 2019 Lok Sabha elections and as a result, the Trinamool Congress increased the vote percentage in the 2021 assembly elections from 44 to 48, but also increased the number of seats. It is being alleged by some analysts and opposition that Mamata lost her seat, hence her popularity is not in the public. Have a question for all those who are making this accusation? Apart from Mamta, tell one such face in Bengal who can lead TMC or win TMC on its own. We should all praise Mamata Banerjee for this, that she decided to leave her seat and contest the election from Nandigram and also gave a message to all the leaders who find a safe seat for themselves or for fear of defeat. They contest from two places. Surely he is the rightful owner of the election won by TMC in West Bengal under the leadership of Mamata Banerjee.
Mamta Banerjee left her mark in this election and also prevented BJP from coming to Bengal. If BJP got 3 to 75 seats, then its rise came from the defeat of Congress and Left, which was not seen anywhere in the election. After separating from the Congress in 1998 and the 1989 defeat, Mamata Banerjee raised the big legends in the election. It is a matter of happiness, when all the Chief Ministers in India are men, they won the election in West Bengal and retained the leadership of women leadership. Surely Mamta Banerjee could be the major face of national politics in the election of 2024, because after the victory of Mamata Banerjee yesterday, the way Akhilesh, Kejriwal and other leaders showed readiness to congratulate her on social media.
When everyone is being ruined in front of the Modi wave in the whole of India, there is no face in national politics that can match Modi. Not only did Mamata Banerjee face the BJP directly in West Bengal, but by registering a historic victory, she brought herself to the fore in the Lok Sabha elections in 2024.Now BJP will have to devise a new strategy by introspecting this defeat and should not avoid this defeat by stating a lead of 3 to 75. The moral responsibility of this defeat will have to be taken by the central leadership that "somewhere there has been a mistake in their strategy".
(Abhishek Gupta is Mass Communication and Journalism student and Working as freelance journalist)
Note - Above article has been translated from Hindi.
